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You've gotta at least start off with how good they were last year as an anchoring point, seeing as they didn't make a change at QB or get somebody back healthy, and then adjust from there. The anchoring point for the Chargers is that they were 7 with a + point differential if you include playoffs. I really don't see how any of what you said moves the needle that far away from 7 +. For a team like the Ravens, who will probably Los Angeles Rams Memorial Day Camo Salute To Service Football Shirt health, have a new star pass rusher, and changed their entire coaching staff, its a lot easier to project some radical change from the previous seasons results. I just don't see how the chargers are so different that you can throw them over a 7 +26 SB champ, or spots ahead of the SB runners up that easily handled LAC in the playoffs. No actual football has been played yet which is, of course, when the Chargers are at the peak of their power.